Why Can Some Humans Predict The Future And Others Cannot?

STRANDED gypsyIn the novel, STRANDED, differences between countries on Earth escalate into an all-out nuclear war. Apparently, world leaders did not, or would not, take their actions into account and predict, or understand, what the outcome would be. Why is it that some normal, everyday people are more capable of looking at a state of affairs, and predict the outcome, better than some highly trained strategists that have more info at their fingertips? 

Why is it that people that see the same facts and situations, come to two totally opposite conclusions? And why is it that a 60 year old pharmacist, Elaine Rich, routinely forecasts world events 30% more accurately than professional intelligence officers? 

You can read more about this fascinating phenomenon here: http://www.businessinsider.com/good-judgement-project-accurate-predictions-2014-4 

Do humans have the right to inhabit (and ruin?) another planet?

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In STRANDED, human qualities such as greed and hatred eventually lead to an Earth doomed by nuclear war. Six escaping astronauts, carrying their passengers, a database of stranded (digitized) humans, head for a habitable planet in hopes of resurrecting the human race. 

But someone on board feels that humans have no right to seed another planet with their destructive traits, and that person begins to systematically kill fellow crewmembers and delete the strands, hoping to extinguish the human race. Chief Scientific Officer Sandra Hapgood must race against time to save herself, the remaining strands, and the future of humanity.